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The Bagan Pinang victory

AFTER losing in all of the by-elections it has contested in the peninsula since March 2008, the Barisan Nasional (BN)’s Bagan Pinang win must taste like ambrosia. The BN’s candidate from Umno, Tan Sri Isa Samad, polled 8,013 votes against the 2,578 votes garnered by PAS’s Zulkefly Omar. In fact, Isa’s majority of 5,435 votes far outstrips the 2,333 majority enjoyed by the BN in the March 2008 general election.

The BN’s stunning performance in Bagan Pinang on 11 Oct 2009 is nothing short of a landslide. Many are wondering what this says about the BN and the PR, and more importantly, what it says about voters.

Leaving that question aside for the moment, Isa’s increased majority must also be a relief for BN chairperson and Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak. After the fielding of corruption-tainted Isa drew ire from none other than Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, Najib can now sleep easy for a little while longer.

Najib must also be particularly relieved about the postal votes — a whopping 3,521 of the 4,611 votes cast went to the BN.

Corruption allegations notwithstanding, Isa was a candidate whose undeniable popularity among locals would have held him in good stead. He is, after all, a towering figure in local politics here. And Umno and the rest of the BN knew this from the beginning.


Khairy (File pic)
As Umno Youth chief and Rembau Member of Parliament Khairy Jamaluddin tells The Nut Graph: “Local politics trumps over national concerns. There is a disconnect between the national consciousness (regarding Isa’s money politics charges) and local realities in politics,” Khairy explains.

“As a former menteri besar, Isa has a good track record. He knows people here. He is that rare Umno leader who has the ability to put people at ease.”

In short, Isa charmed his way out of the stigma of corruption and abuse of power. Well, charm was only part of the equation. He also rode on several government functions to campaign — which goes against the ethics of election campaigning. And all of this prompts Dr Dzulkefly Ahmad, in charge of PAS’s Bagan Pinang by-election machinery, to call this “a very sad day for the nation”.

He tells The Nut Graph in a phone interview: “As Mahathir says, corruption thrives because voters keep supporting leaders who have been found guilty.”

Dzulkefly says the public should not construe the results as an endorsement of Isa per se, but as an endorsement of corruption.


The crowd reacts as Isa is declared the winner

Headaches for the BN and PR

The BN might think this is its first big step in staving off the Pakatan Rakyat (PR)’s onslaught, but it should also realise that this victory is a double-edged sword. Political analyst Prof Dr James Chin, from Monash University, Sunway Campus tells The Nut Graph in a phone interview: “This victory will be seen by Umno warlords that the party just needs to leave everything to them, and [can] forget about reforms.” He is referring specifically to party giants who were dropped in Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi’s cabinet line-up of 2008 for various reasons.

Khairy disagrees. “It really depends on the individual’s credibility. Apart from the money politics issue, Isa is much-liked by locals. So-called warlords can succeed if they are well accepted by their own constituents.”

But Chin stresses that Isa’s win could also shake state-level politics in Negeri Sembilan. “For example, now that Isa has won, what will (Menteri Besar Datuk Seri) Mohamad Hassan do? It is probably his worst nightmare.”

Chin sees that Hassan will be damned if he does not appoint Isa as a state exco. But Hassan might very well be damned even if he does appoint Isa as exco. Negeri Sembilan will likely see internal tensions not unlike Terengganu: BN-controlled, but hardly a picnic for the coalition’s leadership.

But the BN does not corner the market of political headaches. The PR also needs to do some soul-searching on what went wrong in Bagan Pinang. Dzulkefly says the odds were stacked against PAS anyway. “We are pretty weak in Bagan Pinang. PAS has only around 100 members in Bagan Pinang compared to Umno’s approximately 3,000 members here,” he says.

According to Chin, however, this is not the only issue the PR needs to reflect upon. “Voters are also probably starting to doubt if the PR can hold it together after all its recent bickering.” Chin says the constant outbursts by Selangor exco from PAS Datuk Dr Hasan Ali, and the Penang government’s handling of the Kampung Buah Pala affair, could have also dented the PR’s image quite badly.


Isa (centre), with Muhyiddin on his left

Political Islam, again

But apart from politicking within the BN and PR, what impact does the Bagan Pinang by-election result have on the direction Malaysia is heading? For one thing, sociologist Prof Dr Norani Othman observes that the battle for Islam between Umno and PAS is only intensifying.

“I’ve been saying since the mid-1990s that Umno and PAS are going on the same trajectory regarding their stand on Islam and a plural society. Ultimately they are both the same,” she tells The Nut Graph in a telephone interview.

She says this is true of PAS even though it purports to support the PR’s multiracial and inclusive vision for now. “PAS can speak about embracing non-Muslims only when Muslims are clearly stronger and in the majority,” she explains. “But subliminally, their discourse is really about mere tolerance, not acceptance.”

But is the battle for Islam truly played out during elections, or is it mere rhetoric and political theatre? “Especially for a party like PAS, which has a long-term vision, elections provide it with a sort of political pacemaker to take the pulse of its struggles,” Norani says.

In the case of PAS, its strategy is multi-pronged: it aims to convert society to the Islamic agenda at all levels. In addition to winning at the ballot box, PAS also targets mosques and residential committees to transform residential areas, and the civil service to reach working Malay-Muslim Malaysians.


Dzulkefly
Which is probably why Dzulkefly is ultimately not too worried about this by-election outcome. He tells The Nut Graph he is confident that although PAS has lost the battle, it will win the war.

But as long as Umno and PAS are battling for control over the country, Islam will continue being politicised on the stumps at every by-election or even general election in the near future. After all, if Islam could play such a big role in Bagan Pinang — a state seat where supposedly local issues predominated — it could happen anywhere else in the country.

Therefore, as sweet as Umno finds this victory, it is not going to be the panacea to national disillusionment that the BN has claimed it would be. In fact, it raises very difficult questions about the state of governance, corruption, voter awareness and political Islam in this country.

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8 Responses to “The Bagan Pinang victory”

  1. goldenscreen says:

    Corruption pays, abuse of power pays. You just have to be charming enough to charm the people off their feet and make them forget about corruption and abuse of power. Being good and kind is so yesterday. Now it’s all about the money, power and sex. Instant gratification.

    Why work so hard as a blue or white collared worker, barely saving enough to start your own family, when you can join the legions of rich people by behaving as they do – by corruption and racial sentiments?

    Might as well do away with Pendidikan Moral from the school syllabus. What’s the use of studying Moral? Does studying and understanding Moral make you happier, make you better, give you food on the table, give you a comfortable life? A BIG N-O, NO. So why did I waste hundreds of hours of my life in Moral class anyway?

    I want to be rich, I want to drive big cars, I want a nice house, I want nice vacations. Why should I do a honest day’s job? Come everyone, let us join the ranks of the rich and powerful and leave our miserable lives behind us. We will all be the happier for it.

    Forget about change and all those bull$hit ideals. Let’s get realistic and materialistic. Any chance you get to corrupt, steal, loot, pillage – please take it without a moment’s hesitation. After all, Malaysians will forgive you, welcome you with open arms, be excited to meet you, take photos with you as if you are a movie star, people will listen to you, beautiful girls will flock to you.

    Can you achieve all that by behaving like Lim Kit Siang or Lim Guan Eng or Karpal Singh? Even now, many people still whack Lim Guan Eng for his handling of the Kampung Buah Pala issue while hundreds of previous land thefts and house demolitions done by BN is forgotten and forgiven. Why sacrifice and suffer for ungrateful Malaysians?

    In fact, they will be more grateful to you if you are a rich and ruthless person who couldn’t give a damn about the plight of the poor, except to get your votes only. All you have to do is pretend to care for them, sweet talk them, give them goodies and development and all will be forgiven and forgotten. This is Malaysia’s Truly Asia~Asian Values that we are so proud of. Unlike those lousy Western values.

    That is the lesson I learned today from my fellow Malaysians. Thank you Bagan Pinang. Thank you Malaysia for opening my eyes. Thanks to all the hollow men [and women] and thanks to all the stuffed men [and women].

    When you stare into the abyss, the abyss stares back at you.

  2. Antares says:

    Provocative comment from goldenscreen – reinforces my belief that cynicism is our way of protecting ourselves from further pain. Yes, it is a painful realisation indeed that humans are so easily led around by the nose. The fact that Mahathir was able to pull the wool over so many eyes for so many years is ample proof – and even today there are apparently hordes who flock to his blog and lavish slavish praises on this godlike manipulator and enslaver extraordinaire who [...] hobnobbed with tycoons [who] could serve his own selfish purposes. In many ways, Isa Samad’s popularity among Bagan Pinang voters indicates that Mahathir could still win an election – if he were 20 years younger.

  3. pakkarim says:

    I agree with goldenscreen but unlike him/her, I left all that behind when I left Umno in 1988 to join PAS.

    As a Muslim, I was taught that everyone of us are witnesses against each other and must uphold the good and forbid evil. The prophet will then be our witness when we stand before the Creator.

    Our duty is not only towards ourselves, our children, grandchildren and posterity. We are answerable for what happens to others, too.

    Everyone of us, including Isa Samad, Muhyiddin, Najib and even that man who mentored this present batch of leaders within Umno will stand before the Creator to give an account for what happened today at Bagan Pinang.

    Except the 2,578 voters who cast their votes against Isa Samad because he [has been proven to be corrupt]!

  4. Karcy says:

    To goldenscreen:

    So if local people vote on what is important for them, it’s an action of democracy and people power — but only as long as they vote according to the way you (who remain outside of their lives and probably never paid attention to them if it were not for these elections) want them to vote?

  5. KW Mak says:

    @goldenscreen

    “Why sacrifice and suffer for ungrateful Malaysians?”

    We continue to be plagued by the view of that abyss you mentioned because many more will not make the sacrifice and because for every person who wants to become rich through the methods you prescribed, a thousand other persons would have to suffer to make those dreams come through.

    I am not so naive as to not see the selfishness of people, but for every selfish person out there, there are a hundred more who aren’t and who need good people in government to give them that little helping hand.

    As someone who is involved with the PR government, I can honestly say I am tired, and that I do not know how to lift the spirits of a nation that continues to drown itself in the misery it creates, but I try anyway… in support of those who are trying now and with the hope that more will try, too.

  6. davis says:

    Goldenscreen, I understand and share your feelings. However, the sun will rise tomorrow and together with all good men and women we will work to bring about the Promised Land where democracy, equality, fairness and justice will prevail.

  7. mccann105 says:

    We are pleased that Isa won. The opposition just lacks [courage] to cut Hasan Ali out. Seems they refer dancing [the] tango…

  8. pasman says:

    @goldenscreen

    Feeling hopeless? Think about your kids, grandkids, great grandkids and so on, and our future generations. Want them to continue being the “victims” of the current regime/system like everyone of us now?

    We are not yet in the state of helplessness. Keep trying..keep giving some of your time, money, “brain” etc to “the struggle”.

    Malaysia’s future generations will definitely ask what the current generation has done to give them a chance to [enjoy a] civil society.


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